Kashmir: The Real Battle
Dr. Ajay Chrungoo
The
capturing of Indian peaks overlooking Kargil did pose a grave danger to the
entire Ladakh region and even the Kashmir
valley. But this does not sum up the entire story of Pakistani intentions. The
sweeping generalisations that Pakistan expected only a low key military response
from India defies simple logic. Particularly when India
had shown all the resolve to defend as remote a place as Siachen in the same
region at a very heavy human and material cost. It is time we look beyond the
possible territorial objectives of Pakistani invasion in Kargil. There are
reasons to believe that Kargil intrusion constituted a subtle politico-military
manoeuvre for creating appropriate environment and pressure for the dilution of
Indian sovereignty over Jammu and
Kashmir
state to set the stage for its final separation.
Pakistani analyst Ayaz Amir’s remarks in Dawn should have been taken note of.
While making a critical apprisal of Pakistan’s operation in Kargil he makes an
interesting observation. “..to put the most charitable construction on what is
going on in Kargil sector, if this was the opening move in a bid to liberate
Kashmir
by force, something could be said in its defence. It would be seen as a part of
the larger scheme of things even if this largest scheme was decried foolish or
foolhardy... A war or even fighting of a limited kind as we are seeing in Kargil
and Drass sectors must have a political objective if the expenditure of blood
and resources is to be justified... It cannot be conquest or liberation of
Kashmir
because we lack strength for it. It cannot be the desire to internationalise the
Kashmir problem because it is a quixotic venture to rush into a war for so a
paltry aim”. The political developments prior to, during and subsequent to
Kargil intrusion indicate a deft political strategy to force India a step back
in Kashmir.
When Lord Avebury visited
Kashmir
he revealed in disgust to the media that Hurriyat was expecting some sort of a
big bang which was never going to come. Subsequently the Pakistan talked of
holding a districtwise plebiscite in Jammu and
Kashmir.
Another significant political development took place when the ruling National
Conference in Jammu and Kashmir submitted its ‘Autonomy Report’ in the state
assembly at a time and in a way which surprised everyone in India.
During the Kargil crisis Benazir Bhuttoo proposed an approach towards solving
the Kashmir problem which she called ‘deliberate incremental advance” It
essentially envisages porous borders between the two parts of Kashmir;
demilitarisation of entire Kashmir and its patrolling by either an international
peace-keeping force or a joint Indo-Pak peace keeping force; opening of borders
for unrestricted trade, cultural cooperation and exchange leading to the
creation of a South Asian Free Market Zone etc. These measures Mrs Bhutto
believed will act as confidence building mechanisms to pave way for negotiations
after a fixed time frame for the final settlement of Kashmir issue. Benazir’s
admissions that she regretted the policies during her Prime Ministership which
had only led to increase in the tensions between the two countries added the
flavour of reasonableness to her proposals.
The discussions between Parvez Musharraf the Pak Army Chief with the US
delegation of General Anthony Zinni Commander-in-Chief US General Command and
the Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Gibson Lanpher as reported by Dawn
showed that the Benazir’s overtures represented not just a public relation
exercise in her self imposed exile but contained certain aspects of a broad
consensus within the Pakistani establishment on the possible political
approaches on Kashmir.
The newspaper Dawn reported that during the discussions with the visiting US
delegation Gen Pervez Musharraf had hinted that Pakistan on its part would be
prepared to consider as a part of a permanent solution the inclusion of the
entire Valley and the Muslim parts of Jammu into the Pak held ‘Azad Kashmir’
territory-a settlement on the line of Dixon plan.
Mr Selig Harrison a fellow of the US think tank The Century Foundation,
suggested during Kargil war that India for its part must show Pakistan and the
international community that it is prepared to deal more sensitively with the
Kashmiri aspirations than in the past by negotiating increased autonomy in
accordance with the recommendations of the study recently conducted under the
aegis of Kashmir Chief Minister Farooq Abdullah.
All these political manoeuvres aimed at some sort of political solution for
Kashmir made before and during Kargil, crisis. When studied alongwith other
proposals on Kashmir made by various US think tanks from time to time, reveal an
underlying commonality of purpose. All of them essentially constitute the
various variants of the model for Kashmir
solution proposed by Owen Dixon commonly known as Dixon
plan. The district wise plebiscite as proposed by Pakistan and the ‘Autonomy’ as
outlined, by National Conference constitute the two ends of the spectrum of
solutions which encompass various variants of Dixon Plan like Limited or Shared
Sovereignty Doctrines, Sovereignty without International Personality, Greater
autonomous Muslim Kashmir etc etc.
The essence of this vision is that it endeavours to reconstitute Kashmir along
communal lines, ease borders between the Indian Kashmir and Pak held Kashmir and
seek nullification or dilution of Indian sovereignty in Jammu and Kashmir.
The systematically orchestrated publicity campaign over a decade has created a
reference framework in India which emphasises the compatibility of ‘Autonomy
Demand’ with the secular, democratic and federal structure of the Indian nation
state This framework is yet to be challenged. Besides the methodology pursued by
NC of articulating this demand with a very high anti-Pak rhetoric has left its
impact on a section of Indian intelligentsia which actually has come to believe
that the greater autonomy is a counterpoise to Pakistani aggressive
machinations.
The Kargil intrusion has created subtler impacts. It has lowered the threshhold
of international tolerance particularly in view of the regional nuclear
environment. Besides the high cost of defending Kashmir is also being played up
on Indian mind.
The tough talking which Michael Kripon is reported to have done during his
recent visit to Jammu and Kashmir state and the proposal by Karl Inderfurth of
US willingness to help in the rebuilding of Kashmir in case of a meaningful
solution are indicative of that the ‘Autonomy Solution’, will have wider
international support.
A silent consensus appears to have developed within various concerned quarters
in US and Pakistan
as well as the Kashmiri separatists that ‘greater autonomy’ should be vigorously
pursued as a solution which may please all and break the stalemate.
For
India
the choice is becoming limited now, particularly as the internal war in J&K
threatens creation of so-called liberated and setting up of parallel
administration. Accepting the ‘Autonomy’ as envisaged by NC means according a
constitutional legitimacy to Muslim subnationalism and as such accepting the two
nation principle. It will knock out the secular principal as the ideological
foundation of Indian nation state. Rejecting it implies basically defending
Kashmir from the point of view of issues and ideology and not through
expediencies. It also means bidding a farewell to buffer policy which over the
years only envisaged a symbolic secularism and symbolic democracy.
The political battle in
Kashmir
will be now won less on the game of numbers and cosmetic political manoeuvres
and more by standing up to the challenges of ideology. The tragedy is that we
are yet reluctant to fight this political battle from a higher pedestal.
Source: Kashmir
Sentinel
|